AUS vs IND BGT Series: Can India Qualify for WTC Final and How?
The race to the ICC World Test Championship 2023-25 (WTC) final is intensifying with each test match. The WTC final qualification scenario keeps changing every day. Here’s a complete analysis of India’s World Test Championship final qualification scenario and what India must do to seal a spot in the WTC final.
Can India Qualify for the WTC Final?
The answer is yes! India is still in contention and can qualify for the 2023-25 World Test Championship final. Currently, India is sitting at the third spot in the WTC points table with a win percentage of 57.29%.
The third position does indicate that Team India has to get to one of the first two positions to qualify for the final of the World Test Championship. It will be a challenge looking at the fixtures ahead but certainly a possibility. India will rely heavily on how they perform in the ongoing AUS vs IND BGT Series and their prowess will tell if they can qualify or not.
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How can India qualify for the ICC World Test Championship 2023-25 Final?
- Winning Two Out of Three Remaining Tests: Every match of the ongoing India vs Australia Test series is like a do-or-die. India must win at least two of the three remaining Tests against Australia if not all three. If the India National Cricket Team manages to win two tests, their win percentage will be 58.77%.
- Other Results should be favourable: First things first, a 3-2 or 4-1 series win against Australia would consolidate India’s position on the WTC points table. However, there are certain uncontrolables that must go India’s way. The other contenders vying for spots are Australia, South Africa, New Zealand, and Sri Lanka. Their results can impact the final standings.
- Losing BGT Series 2-3 can still help qualify: In case of a 2-3 BGT 2024-25 series loss, India can still make it to the final. In the event of a 2-3 loss in the Australia vs India Test series, India’s win percentage will drop to 53.51%. India can still make it the basis of several outcomes and permutations like South Africa losing both of their Tests against Pakistan.
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WTC Points Table
(As of December 10, 2024)
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Lost | Draw | Points Deducted | Points | Win Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Africa | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 76 | 63.33 |
| 2 | Australia | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 102 | 60.71 |
| 3 | India | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 110 | 57.29 |
| 4 | Sri Lanka | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 45.45 |
| 5 | England | 21 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 22 | 114 | 45.24 |
| 6 | New Zealand | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 69 | 44.23 |
| 7 | Pakistan | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 33.33 |
| 8 | Bangladesh | 12 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 31.25 |
| 9 | West Indies | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 24.24 |
Points System
12 points for a win
6 points for a tie
4 points for a draw
Teams are ranked according to the percentage of points won
The Top two teams progress to the final at Lord’s in 2025
Point Deductions: Points are deducted for slow over rates
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Besides India, who are the other WTC final contenders?
- South Africa
South Africa has comprehensively beaten Sri Lanka at home recently and now sits atop the WTC 2023-25 points table. The clean sweep of the islanders has boosted South Africa’s chances to play the WTC final with a win percentage of 63.33%.
For SA to qualify, they must win one of the two tests against Pakistan. In case of a 1-1 draw or a 0-2 loss in the series, they will still be in contention. However, the South Africa Cricket Team will give an opportunity for India or Australia to surpass them with strong performances.
Remaining matches: Pakistan (Two Tests at home)
- Australia
Australian Cricket Team is second on the points table with a win percentage of 60.71%. A 4-1 or 3-2 series win against India will guarantee the Aussies a spot in the WTC final. In case Australia loses the series 2-3, they have to win both Tests in Sri Lanka and hope that other outcomes come in their favour.
Remaining matches: India (home, three Tests), Sri Lanka (away, two Tests)
- Sri Lanka
Sri Lankan Cricket is another team that is in contention for the spot in the final. The chances are bleak though after a humiliating 2-0 loss to South Africa recently. They have a win percentage of 45.45% at the moment and must win all their remainder games to stand a chance.
Remaining matches: Australia (home, two Tests)
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